Thursday, March 31, 2011

End Game for Laurent Gbagbo, Ble Goude and Muammar Qaddafi Families

With a lot of uncertainty hanging over the Middle East, a new era is
dawning in the world, what many have dubbed a New World order that
will define much of the way we live and interact in the 21st century.

In the Arab World, rebels have been found wanting in their bid to oust
strongman, Muammar al Qaddafi. Under cover of an internationally
sanctioned No-Fly zone, the rebels fighting Qaddafi loyalists made
significant gains last week, only to lose ground quickly when faced
with heavy artillery.

The Qaddafi family is proving tenacious, and is now pushing west, to
the rebel stronghold of Benghazi. It seems the only way to stop him
would be to have the prosecutor of the International Criminal Court
examine allegations of terrorism, especially the 1988 bombing of a
PanAm flight over the Scottish village of Lockerbie.

A key prosecution witness to this case could be the Foreign Minister
of Libya, who is an insider and former head of Libya's secret
services. He defected yesterday, the 30th of March 2011, and flew from
Tunisia to London on a private flight. He is still being debriefed by
British Intelligence.

Further South in Africa, Forces loyal to president elect in Cote
d'Ivoire, Alassane Ouattara have been making gains as they advance to
the economic capital, Abidjan. The capital of the country,
Yamossoukro, has fallen, and just Abijan and a small area around it
remain under the control of Mr Gbagbo.

Laurent Gbagbo, his wife Simone Gbagbo and Ble Goude, leader of the
populist Jeune Patriots (Young Patriots) have been slammed with
international travel bans. They also may be exposed to indictment from
the ICC.

The time when people could cling on to power, and stifle progress of
countries is now in the past. The American president has made it clear
these despots MUST leave power.

Barack Obama will prevail in Libya and Cote d'Ivoire.

Wednesday, March 30, 2011

Tsunami in Cameroon: Possible Scenarios and Emergency Preparedness.

Cameroon has a major fault line, which makes the country to be exposed
to the effects of a major earthquake.

This fault, named by Geologists The Cameroon Fault Line, starts far
and deep in the Atlantic Ocean, close to Sao Tome and Principe. It
then heads Northeast, with outcroppings from some active volcanos
forming islands like Bioko (Malabo) and hundreds of smaller islands.

The Fault Line hits the continent around Bota, a suburb of Limbe in
Cameroon. From there, mount Cameroon rises majestically, and this very
active volcanic formation runs northeast, through Mount Kupe,
Manenguba, and through the Western Highlands.

It is not until in the vicinity of Lake Chad, that it comes to an end.

It is a lot of territory which is thus exposed to volcanic activity in
Cameroon by proven geologic methods.

The world and especially the Japanese are still trying to mitigate the
disaster wrought upon the nation by an earthquake and resultant
Tsunami on March 11 2011.

An earthquake that struck on the 12th of January 2010 caught the
people of Haiti unprepared. Reconstruction efforts are still ongoing.

Cameroonians should seize this moment to analyze a scenario where a
Tsunami could be triggered in the Atlantic ocean by geologic activity
along the Cameroon Fault Line.

Many areas of Limbe are low-lying, from Down Beach to as far as Church Street.

Due to the steep grade that leads to Mount Cameroon, many
neighborhoods and towns close to the ocean are high above ground. In
the event of a Tsunami, this could be a life-saver for many.

A quick look at building practices in coastal areas shows a major
danger to which thousands of familes are exposed to. Their homes are
very close to the sea, with very little difference in altitude. Even a
small increase in the sea level would quickly overwhelm such
communities.

No artificial barriers that could withstand an onslaught from a Tsunami exist.

It is well known by Oceanographers that Tsunami waves travel very
fast. Prevention has to include an early warning system. There is a
global project by the US Geological Survey that monitors oceans for
seismic activity, and generates a warning if Tsunamis are detected.

If danger is sensed off the coast, it does not make a difference if
there is no mechanism to convey important information to the
population in harm's way. An early warning is a must for a city like
Douala. When millions of people live close to the coastline in a
volcanic region, it is the government's sole responsibility to assure
their safety.

This is a pressing call, for those in administrative and other
positions of responsibility to take necessary measure, so that when
mother nature does its thing, we are not found wanting.
A word to the wise...

Lukewarm preparation for Cameroon's presidential election.

With only months to go, Cameroonians are yet to see serious activity
pick up on the campaign trail.

Many of the established political parties are yet to launch their
platforms, and head out to meet voters.

What Cameroonians have been treated to so far has been one off events,
widely reported by the media (including on this blog) by lone
individuals.

Many of the heavyweights like Fru Ndi have been around long enough
with no tangible results to show, or have been discredited in the
public eye.

The upcoming presidential elections look like they might swallow all
minor political parties, making them part of a potpourri of a giant
national coalition, headed by the ruling CPDM.

So far, this promises to be the trend. Paul Biya, who has headed the
country for 36 years seems to expect this. He is lying low, very low
for now, so that he does not catch the eye of sharp tongued and witted
progressives like Kah Walla of Cameroon O Bosso and Hon. Ayah Paul
Abine, a parliamentarian who has spent his entire career begging for a
road to his constituency, so he does not have to drive through
Nigeria.

There is some momentum for change sweeping across. the Arab world,
Cameroonians must ride that wave of change, so that Biya may be
flushed out by the end of this year from the presidency.

Cameroonians deserve a leader who feels their pain, and communes with them.

Kah Walla or Ayah Paul would do a better job.

Tuesday, March 29, 2011

Leonardo di Caprio and Clint Eastwood in Marshal, Virginia?

With Belvoir Road in Marshal, VA closed, and a slew of caravans camped
outside of a farm on the road, it looks like the set of the new Clint
Eastwood flick has moved from downtown DC to the West of Virginia.

Lover's of the silver screen have been tracking the new production,
shooting in the DC Metro area. But exact locations have been kept
under wraps. It looks like some scenes are being shot in a
picturesque farm in Marshal, VA.

It is horse country, with vast open fields, and lush green meadows. It
will provide the perfect backdrop, for the subject matter of this
movie - a tragic story of greed and sorrow.